Russian Journal of Earth Sciences Russian Journal of Earth Sciences Russian Journal of Earth Sciences 1681-1208 94986 10.2205/2025ES000956 oamxsw ОРИГИНАЛЬНЫЕ СТАТЬИ ORIGINAL ARTICLES ОРИГИНАЛЬНЫЕ СТАТЬИ Geoinformation Analysis of Regional Climatic Changes in the Central and Western Russian Arctic for Railway Development Geoinformation Analysis of Regional Climatic Changes in the Central and Western Russian Arctic for Railway Development https://orcid.org/0000-0001-7441-5055 Костяной Андрей Геннадьевич Kostianoy Andrey Gennad'evich https://orcid.org/0000-0002-4874-7475 Гвишиани Алексей Джерменович Gvishiani Alexei D. rjes@wdcb.ru

доктор физико-математических наук;

doctor of physical and mathematical sciences;

 https://orcid.org/0000-0001-9589-6783 Розенберг Игорь Наумович Rozenberg Igor' Naumovich i.rozenberg@geosc.ru https://orcid.org/0000-0001-8221-4106 Красноперов Роман Игоревич Krasnoperov Roman Igorevich https://orcid.org/0000-0001-6925-9860 Гвоздик Софья А. Gvozdik Sofia A. sonyagvozdik1@gmail.com https://orcid.org/0000-0002-4976-7136 Лебедев Сергей Анатольевич Lebedev Sergey Anatol'evich

доктор физико-математических наук;

doctor of physical and mathematical sciences;

 https://orcid.org/0009-0008-6127-4546 Никитина Изабелла Михайловна Nikitina Isabella Mihaylovna

кандидат технических наук;

candidate of technical sciences;

 Дубчак Ирина Александровна Dubchak Irina Aleksandrovna https://orcid.org/0009-0000-4074-3130 Шевалдышева Ольга Олеговна Shevaldysheva Olga Olegovna o.shevaldysheva@gcras.ru https://orcid.org/0009-0000-6955-2493 Сергеев Владимир Николаевич Sergeev Vladimir Nikolaevich https://orcid.org/0009-0000-8662-3679 Гвоздик Георгий Александрович Gvozdik Georgy Aleksandrovich Институт океанологии им. П.П. Ширшова РАН P.P.Shirshov Institute of Oceanology of the Russian Academy of Science Геофизический центр Российской академии наук Россия Geophysical Center, Russian Academy of Sciences Russian Federation Майкопский государственный технологический университет Россия Maykop State Technological University Russian Federation Московский университет имени С. Ю. Витте Россия S. Yu. Witte Moscow University Russian Federation Геофизический центр Российской Академии Наук Москва Россия Geophysical Center of the Russian Academy of Sciences Moscow Russian Federation Институт физики Земли им. О.Ю. Шмидта Российской академии наук Москва Россия Schmidt Institute of the Physics of the Earth Russian Academy of Sciencies Moscow Russian Federation Российский университет транспорта Moscow RU Russian University of Transport Moscow RU Геофизический центр Российской Академии Наук Россия Geophysical Center of Russian Academy of Sciences Russian Federation Геофизический центр Российской Академии Наук Москва Россия Geophysical Center of Russian Academy of Sciences Moscow Russian Federation Кафедра наук о Земле и окружающей среде, Миланский университет Бикокка Италия Department of Earth and Environmental Sciences, University of Milano-Bicocca Italy Геофизический центр Российской Академии Наук Россия Geophysical Center of Russian Academy of Sciences Russian Federation Майкопский государственный технологический университет Maikop State Technological University Национальный исследовательский университет «МИЭТ» National Research University of Electronic Technology Институт океанологии имени П. П. Ширшова РАН Россия Shirshov Institute of Oceanology, Russian Academy of Sciences Russian Federation Геофизический центр Российской Академии Наук Россия Geophysical Center of Russian Academy of Sciences Russian Federation Российский университет транспорта (МИИТ) Россия Russian University of Transport (MIIT) Russian Federation Геофизический центр Российской Академии Наук Россия Geophysical Center of Russian Academy of Sciences Russian Federation Геофизический центр Российской Академии Наук Россия Geophysical Center of Russian Academy of Sciences Russian Federation Геофизический центр Российской Академии Наук Россия Geophysical Center of Russian Academy of Sciences Russian Federation Московский государственный университет имени М.В.Ломоносова Lomonosov Moscow State University 28 02 2025 28 02 2025 25 1 1 34 26 11 2024 19 12 2024 https://ras.editorum.ru/en/nauka/article/94986/view

The Arctic Zone of the Russian Federation is characterized by the rapid growth of the mining industry, aimed at the extraction of oil, gas, coal, and ores, including rare earth metals. Railways are essential in the transportation of these resources to different regions of Russia for processing and export. Part of the cargo delivery is performed via the Arctic ports connected to the railway network. Rapid climate change, including regional climate warming, is among the compromising factors for the operation of the Arctic transport infrastructure. System analysis of climatic processes and assessment of potential hazards that they may induce requires adequate geoinformation support. This paper presents the results of spatio-temporal variability analysis of various hydrometeorological parameters for selected railway mainlines within the Arctic region. For this purpose, a new geoinformation method based on the Hovmöller diagrams was elaborated. This tool is useful for representing climate dynamics along the specified railway mainlines over several decades. It allows us to determine railway sections affected by anomalous climatic conditions on the variable time scale. The presented Hovmöller diagrams proved to be an efficient instrument for the regional climate change representation. It might be quite useful for railway infrastructure maintenance, planning, operation, and adaptation.

The Arctic Zone of the Russian Federation is characterized by the rapid growth of the mining industry, aimed at the extraction of oil, gas, coal, and ores, including rare earth metals. Railways are essential in the transportation of these resources to different regions of Russia for processing and export. Part of the cargo delivery is performed via the Arctic ports connected to the railway network. Rapid climate change, including regional climate warming, is among the compromising factors for the operation of the Arctic transport infrastructure. System analysis of climatic processes and assessment of potential hazards that they may induce requires adequate geoinformation support. This paper presents the results of spatio-temporal variability analysis of various hydrometeorological parameters for selected railway mainlines within the Arctic region. For this purpose, a new geoinformation method based on the Hovmöller diagrams was elaborated. This tool is useful for representing climate dynamics along the specified railway mainlines over several decades. It allows us to determine railway sections affected by anomalous climatic conditions on the variable time scale. The presented Hovmöller diagrams proved to be an efficient instrument for the regional climate change representation. It might be quite useful for railway infrastructure maintenance, planning, operation, and adaptation.

 Climate change Russian Arctic railway development hydrometeorological parameters GIS Hovmöller diagrams railway mainline analysis transportation Climate change Russian Arctic railway development hydrometeorological parameters GIS Hovmöller diagrams railway mainline analysis transportation The research presented in this paper was funded by the Russian Science Foundation (Project No. 21-77-30010) “System analysis of geophysical process dynamics in the Russian Arctic and their impact on the development and operation of the railway infrastructure”. The authors wish to thank the faculty staff of the Russian University of Transport (Moscow) and the scientific team of the Research and Design Institute of Informatization, Automation and Communications in Railway Transport (Moscow, Russia) for providing valuable information on the railway infrastructure. The authors are grateful to the scientific teams of the responsible agencies and institutions for the provided climatic and hydrometeorological data. The research presented in this paper was funded by the Russian Science Foundation (Project No. 21-77-30010) “System analysis of geophysical process dynamics in the Russian Arctic and their impact on the development and operation of the railway infrastructure”. The authors wish to thank the faculty staff of the Russian University of Transport (Moscow) and the scientific team of the Research and Design Institute of Informatization, Automation and Communications in Railway Transport (Moscow, Russia) for providing valuable information on the railway infrastructure. The authors are grateful to the scientific teams of the responsible agencies and institutions for the provided climatic and hydrometeorological data.

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